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Contrary to legacy automakers and those who support the extraction of energy from fossil sources, Tesla entered the struggle for a world in which cars will powered on electricity. For 17 years, the Tesla team, led by its CEO Elon Musk, has fought to prove to all of humanity that electric cars are a good future that we should all strive for. And this is exactly what is happening around the world now.
A new report by Cairn Energy Research Advisors, a battery and electric vehicle research company, predicts a surge in electric vehicle sales in 2021 as countries around the world are introducing new programs that encourage consumers to buy battery-powered cars. According to Cairn, global sales of electric cars in 2021 will grow by 36% and top 3 million vehicles for the first time ever.
“There’s pent-up demand for electric vehicles,” said Sam Jaffe, managing director of Cairn Energy Research Advisors. “We will see a combination of factors make 2021 an inflection point for the sale of electric vehicles.”
Jaffe believes that the two main factors driving demand for electric cars are markets in Europe and China. At the moment, according to Sanford C. Bernstein, China is already the world's largest market for electric vehicles. In 2019, 1 million battery-powered cars were built there.
Tesla Model S battery (Tesla)
According to Bernstein analyst Mark Newman, electric vehicle production will increase to at least 1.3 million and may reach 1.5 million, depending on market conditions this year. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives stating “we continue to believe EV demand in China is starting to accelerate with Tesla competing with a number of domestic and international competitors for this market share.”
Meanwhile, Cairn Energy Research predicts that Europe will see the largest increase in electric vehicle sales next year, mainly because EU governments are striving to reduce their carbon footprint. Therefore, states introduce bonuses for the purchase of electric vehicles.
Jaffe says there is a wave of electric vehicle production coming from Europe that will spur greater sales. “The European automakers and Tesla are all adding capacity and that will really have an impact starting next year.” Tesla Giga Berlin will begin production of the Model Y by the middle of next year, which will undoubtedly increase demand among European consumers.
According to the report, electric car sales in the US are expected to grow next year as new models are released, while the Tesla Model 3 and Model Y are likely to get the lion's share in mass sales.